With less than two weeks until Election Day, a new poll finds that former President Trump enjoys historically high support among young minority voters.
The most recent GenForward study from the University of Chicago, released Wednesday, indicated that 26 percent of Black men aged 18 to 40 said they would vote for Trump, but only 12 percent of Black women would. It is a big win, as Black people overwhelmingly chose Biden over Trump in the 2020 presidential election.
Trump has also increased his standing among young Latino men, with 44 percent saying they would vote for him, up from 38 percent in 2020. Nonetheless, Democratic nominee Vice President Kamala Harris leads Trump 47-35 in the survey, which includes significant oversampling of young voters of color.
Nonetheless, the underlying findings provide more indication of a potential political realignment among minority voters along generation and gender lines. Young Black and Latino Americans have traditionally supported Democratic candidates, but several surveys have found that their support for Harris has waned, with these groups citing economic issues and immigration as their main worries.
Harris is particularly strong among women of color. The majority of Black (63%), Asian American and Pacific Islander (60%), and Latina (55%) women back Harris over Trump.
White women preferred Harris over Trump by 44-40 percent.
The GenForward poll, which lasted from September 26 to October 6, comprised 2,359 eligible voters aged 18 to 40. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.13 percentage points.
In the last days of the 2024 presidential election, both Harris and Trump focused on reaching out to minority voters.
Last week, the Harris campaign launched an economic strategy for Black men, highlighting her promises to grant small business loans to Black-owned enterprises as well as legalizing marijuana.
Her team also increased events targeting Latino and Black voters in battleground states, while former President Barack Obama chided Black men for being afraid to vote for a woman president.
Trump’s rallies have featured recent endorsements from Black celebrities and athletes, including Detroit rapper Trick Trick, boxing icon Tommy “Hitman” Hearns, and former NFL stars Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell.